#Systems-Thinking
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Goals fail twice: no daily feedback, no scaffolding
Pure goal thinking fails on two axes — it offers no signal until the end, and once hit (or missed) there's no structure left to keep you moving.
Systems have expiration dates — review them
A system that succeeded at one life stage can quietly become a thoughtless habit. Review periodically and retire the ones that no longer serve.
Start with the smallest version of the system
First rule for a new system: design the smallest version that survives being done every day. Tiny actions compound; ambitious launches generate resistance.
Black Box Thinking: airlines vs healthcare loops
Matthew Syed's Black Box Thinking shows how aviation's tight feedback loops produced extreme safety while healthcare struggles to learn at the same rate.
Leverage points decide what's worth systemizing
Don't systematize everything — borrow leverage points from systems-thinking and pick the spots where a system actually changes the before/after state.
Richest Man in Babylon and the 10% rule
The save 10% of everything that comes in rule turns a finance goal into a system — the destination becomes inevitable instead of aspirational.
Feedback Loops and Counterintuitive Constraints
Modeling with real data reveals surprises — Larson discovered hiring was constrained by manager hiring, not engineer hiring, fundamentally changing where he invested his time.
When the Model Breaks: Messy Situations Require Human Judgment
Models are useful but they miss things — when overlapping scenarios fall outside the system's coverage, managers must fall back on human judgment.
Multiplying Value Through Systems Thinking
Successful engineers multiply value rather than just adding it — think in terms of system effects, not just the immediate task, and the returns compound.
An Elegant Puzzle - Systems of Engineering Management
Engineering management as elegant puzzles — a recipe book of systems and structures you return to when you need them, essential for isolated managers learning from books.
Five Systemic Perspectives as Analytical Lenses
Mechanistic, interrelationships, organismic, purposeful, and societal — five complementary lenses that stretch a leader's imagination for any challenge.
The EPIC Process for System Thinking
Explore, Produce, Intervene, Check — a principled guide shaped by decades of systems practice, not a rigid prescription.
Critical Systems Thinking by Michael C. Jackson
Critical systems thinking integrates competing strands into a coherent framework that enhances — not replaces — a leader's existing experience, filling gaps traditional MBA toolkits miss.
Zooming in and zooming out as a mindset for Systems Thinking
Continuously oscillate between macro and micro — stay zoomed out too long and you freeze; stay zoomed in too long and you lose the bigger picture.
Systems Thinking vs Analysis Paralysis
Do the next right thing — for systems thinkers who see across domains, the immediate decision is a productive constraint against the paralysis of optimizing the entire trajectory.
Systems mapping by Deirdre Cerminaro
Systems maps externalize complexity to make it manipulable — useful for alignment, for provoking questions, and for surfacing invisible gaps.
What makes something a system by Deirdre Cerminaro
A system is anything where the sum is greater than the whole of its parts — the design lives in the intersections, not the components.
System Design: Constraints are your friend
Constraints close down the option space just enough to make creative action possible — they are friends, not obstacles.
Human-centered systems thinking by Deirdre Cerminaro
Systems thinking fused with human-centered design: holistic solutions that move from analysis to making, portable across any industry.
Emergent Behavior: Measure, Don't Predict
00:14:37 — Emergent Behavior: Simple Rules, Complex Outcomes
Feedback Loops and the Toilet Paper Shortage
00:10:46 — Positive and Negative Feedback Loops
Landscape vs Landscaping Heuristic
00:33:22 — Landscape Versus Landscaping: Know What You Can Change
Accept Data In, Be Strict Going Out
00:30:38 — Accept Data In, Be Strict Going Out
Proximate vs Ultimate Cause in Systems
00:27:33 — Address Proximate Causes, Understand Ultimate Ones
Synthesis vs Analysis: The Cow Metaphor
00:21:38 — Synthesis Versus Analysis: The Cow Metaphor
Code in the Wild vs the Zoo
00:19:03 — Your Code Lives in the Wild but Is Written in a Zoo
Complex Systems and Hindsight Predictability
00:00:45 — Complex Systems Produce Unpredictable Behavior
PeopleWork: Intentions, Policies, Observations
00:39:55 — PeopleWork: Intentions, Policies, and Observations
Working the Human System Within Companies
00:38:11 — Working the Human System Within Companies
Teaching Forces Clarity, AI Amplifies Clarity
00:22:11 — Teaching Forces Clarity, AI Amplifies Clarity
AI as Amplifier: Clarity or Dysfunction
00:10:07 — AI as Amplifier: DORA Report on Clarity vs Dysfunction
Systems to describe for Everything is it possible?
00:04:20 — The System Kernel: A Black Box for Everything
Zongjiao: culto dos antepassados e ensino dos sábios
00:12:03 — Zongjiao: culto dos antepassados e ensino dos sábios
Meta-Thinking as Designing Your Mental Context
00:07:07 — Meta-Thinking as Designing Your Mental Context
Don't Change Thoughts, Change the System
00:04:44 — Don't Change Thoughts, Change the System
Thoughts Shape Reality, Systems Produce Thoughts
00:00:00 — Thoughts Shape Reality, Systems Produce Thoughts
Why Eliminating Slack Breaks the System
00:09:35 — Why Eliminating Slack Breaks the System
系統 Hai Tong - Hǎi Tóng
Holism over Reductionism: Classical Chinese thought rejects isolating parts; everything interconnects via qi, yin-yang, and wuxing (Five Phases: Wood, Fire, Earth, Metal, Water), mirroring systems…