#Mental-Models
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Second-order Thinking - Mental Model
The page defines second-order thinking as considering future consequences beyond the immediate result, using reversibility, “And then what?”, and the 10-10-10 rule to guide decisions.
Probabilistic Thinking - Mental Model
The article argues that decisions should be framed in probabilities and ranges, not certainties. It links this mindset to better expectations, risk assessment, and a clearer view of luck and uncertainty.
Best Mentors in the World Just For You
The article argues that you can use a mental board of advisors by learning how respected mentors think, then imagining how they would respond to your problem before you decide.
The 12 mental models and biases for engineers
The article groups mental models and cognitive biases that shape engineering decisions, with examples of second-order thinking, first principles, inversion, Pareto, sunk cost, confirmation bias, and other models.
How To Tell If Someone Is Truly Smart Or Just Average
The article argues that exceptional thinkers use mental models consciously and proactively. It links smarter judgment to first principles, depth of knowledge, and collecting diverse models across domains.